Research Article
An Analysis of Relationship Between Nitrogen Surplus for Agriculture and Socio-Economic Properties: A Case Study for Turkey
Fethi Şaban ÖZBEK*
Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra (VA), Italy
*Corresponding author: Dr. Fethi Şaban ÖZBEK, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra (VA), Italy, Ph: +39 333 1917803, Postal address: Via Fermi 2749, TP 266/023I-21027 ISPRA (VA), Italy, E-mail: fethiozbek@yahoo.com
Article Information: Submission: 15/04/2015; Accepted: 09/05/2015; Published: 15/05/2015
Copyright: © 2015 Fethi Şaban ÖZBEK, et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Abstract
This paper presents the analysis of relationship between nitrogen surplus for agriculture (NS) and some socio-economic properties among the regions of
Turkey for the period of 2007-2011. The correlations of NS with gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (0.66), permanent meadows and grassland share
in utilized agricultural area (UAA) (-0.55), population density (0.49), out-migration rate (-0.42), the export value of agriculture and forestry (0.35), illiterate
share (-0.31), number of villages (-0.31), arable land share in UAA (0.29), the value of livestock per capita (-0.26) and permanent area share in UAA (0.23)
were observed as statistically significant. A model was established by using C5.0 algorithm to define NS levels of the regions according to socio-economic
properties of the regions. According to the model results; permanent meadows and grassland in UAA, GDP per capita, population density, and illiterate share
were determined as the important variables to define NS levels of the regions. It can therefore be concluded that the permanent meadows and grassland
share in UAA and GDP per capita are the main socio-economic properties having noticeable effect on the environmental quality and human welfare related
to NS.
